Forecasting stock returns using variable selections with Genetic Algorithm and Artificial Neural-Networks

Prisadarng Skolpadungket, Keshav Dahal, Napat Harnpornchai

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Modeling stock returns requires selections of
appropriate input variables. For an Artificial Neural Network,
the appropriate input variables have both linear and nonlinear
functional relationship with stock returns as output
variables. To capture the non-linear relationships, we propose
Weierstrass theorem. However, to estimate the relationships
for all possible combinations of input variables, especially for a
large set of variables, is too numerous for a simple exhaustive
search thus we use a Genetic Algorithm to approximate the
non-linear relationships between the prospective input
variables and the output variables. The result shows that the
Artificial Neural Networks with the selected variables based on
both linear and non-linear relationship perform better than the
ones with all possible variables for all but one out of the sample
of ten US stocks.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPACIIA 2009. Asia-Pacific Conference on Computational Intelligence and Industrial Applications, 2009.
Place of PublicationPiscataway, NJ
PublisherIEEE
Pages186-189
Number of pages4
ISBN (Print)9781424446063
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes
Event2009 Asia-Pacific Conference on Computational Intelligence and Industrial Applications (PACIIA 2009), - Wuhan, China
Duration: 28 Nov 200929 Nov 2009

Conference

Conference2009 Asia-Pacific Conference on Computational Intelligence and Industrial Applications (PACIIA 2009),
Country/TerritoryChina
CityWuhan
Period28/11/0929/11/09

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