Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania

Anne E. Jones; Ulrika Uddenfeldt Wort; Andrew P. Morse; Ian M. Hastings; Alexandre S. Gagnon

doi:10.1186/1475-2875-6-162

Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania

Anne E. Jones, Ulrika Uddenfeldt Wort, Andrew P. Morse, Ian M. Hastings, Alexandre S. Gagnon

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

49 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Malaria is a significant public health problem in Tanzania. Approximately 16 million malaria cases are reported every year and 100,000 to 125,000 deaths occur. Although most of Tanzania is endemic to malaria, epidemics occur in the highlands, notably in Kagera, a region that was subject to widespread malaria epidemics in 1997 and 1998. This study examined the relationship between climate and malaria incidence in Kagera with the aim of determining whether seasonal forecasts may assist in predicting malaria epidemics.

Original language	English
Journal	Malaria Journal
Volume	6
Issue number	162
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1186/1475-2875-6-162
Publication status	Published - Dec 2007
Externally published	Yes

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10.1186/1475-2875-6-162

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abstract = "Malaria is a significant public health problem in Tanzania. Approximately 16 million malaria cases are reported every year and 100,000 to 125,000 deaths occur. Although most of Tanzania is endemic to malaria, epidemics occur in the highlands, notably in Kagera, a region that was subject to widespread malaria epidemics in 1997 and 1998. This study examined the relationship between climate and malaria incidence in Kagera with the aim of determining whether seasonal forecasts may assist in predicting malaria epidemics.",

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AU - Jones, Anne E.

AU - Wort, Ulrika Uddenfeldt

AU - Morse, Andrew P.

AU - Hastings, Ian M.

AU - Gagnon, Alexandre S.

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AB - Malaria is a significant public health problem in Tanzania. Approximately 16 million malaria cases are reported every year and 100,000 to 125,000 deaths occur. Although most of Tanzania is endemic to malaria, epidemics occur in the highlands, notably in Kagera, a region that was subject to widespread malaria epidemics in 1997 and 1998. This study examined the relationship between climate and malaria incidence in Kagera with the aim of determining whether seasonal forecasts may assist in predicting malaria epidemics.

U2 - 10.1186/1475-2875-6-162

DO - 10.1186/1475-2875-6-162

M3 - Article

SN - 1475-2875

VL - 6

JO - Malaria Journal

JF - Malaria Journal

IS - 162

ER -

Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania

Abstract

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