Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania

Anne E. Jones, Ulrika Uddenfeldt Wort, Andrew P. Morse, Ian M. Hastings, Alexandre S. Gagnon

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42 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Malaria is a significant public health problem in Tanzania. Approximately 16 million malaria cases are reported every year and 100,000 to 125,000 deaths occur. Although most of Tanzania is endemic to malaria, epidemics occur in the highlands, notably in Kagera, a region that was subject to widespread malaria epidemics in 1997 and 1998. This study examined the relationship between climate and malaria incidence in Kagera with the aim of determining whether seasonal forecasts may assist in predicting malaria epidemics.
Original languageEnglish
JournalMalaria Journal
Volume6
Issue number162
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2007
Externally publishedYes

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